Awards Predictions 2027

Will Disclosure Day sweep awards season? Our complete analysis of Oscar, Golden Globe, and SAG potential

The Awards Case for Disclosure Day

Steven Spielberg returns to science fiction with his most ambitious project since Close Encounters of the Third Kind. With an A-list cast, a May 2026 release, and themes that resonate with our current moment, Disclosure Day has all the ingredients for a major awards campaign.

3
Oscar Wins
8
Director Noms
19
BP Nominees Produced
78
Years Old

Academy Awards Predictions

The 99th Academy Awards (2027) will honor films released in 2026. Here's where Disclosure Day could compete:

Frontrunner

Best Picture

Disclosure Day

Spielberg's prestige + timely themes + A-list cast = strong contender. The Academy loves honoring legacy directors.

Nomination:
85%
Win:
35%
Frontrunner

Best Director

Steven Spielberg

At 78, this could be seen as a capstone achievement. The Academy may want to honor him again.

Nomination:
90%
Win:
40%
Frontrunner

Best Actress

Emily Blunt

Oscar-less despite acclaimed performances. Lead role in a Spielberg film could finally get her the win.

Nomination:
80%
Win:
45%
Strong Contender

Best Supporting Actor

Colin Firth / Colman Domingo

Both deliver powerhouse performances. Campaign may need to pick one to avoid vote splitting.

Nomination:
65%
Frontrunner

Best Original Screenplay

David Koepp

Koepp's never been nominated. An intelligent sci-fi script about first contact could change that.

Nomination:
75%
Frontrunner

Best Cinematography

Janusz Kaminski

Two-time Oscar winner. His alien contact visuals could earn him a sixth nomination.

Nomination:
85%
Frontrunner

Best Original Score

John Williams (if involved)

At 93, if Williams scores this film, the Academy will likely nominate out of respect alone.

Nomination:
80%
Strong Contender

Best Visual Effects

ILM / Visual Effects Team

Any Spielberg sci-fi film will deliver groundbreaking VFX. Lock for nomination.

Nomination:
95%

Other Major Awards

Golden Globe Awards

The Globes separate Drama and Musical/Comedy. Disclosure Day will compete in Drama categories.

Category Prediction Odds
Best Picture - Drama Strong Contender 70% nom
Best Director Frontrunner 80% nom
Best Actress - Drama Frontrunner 75% nom
Best Score Likely Nominee 85% nom

SAG Awards

The Screen Actors Guild awards are key Oscar predictors, voted on by actors.

Category Prediction Odds
Outstanding Cast Frontrunner 80% nom
Female Actor - Leading Frontrunner 85% nom
Male Actor - Supporting Strong Contender 60% nom

Critics' Choice Awards

Critics' Choice often aligns closely with Oscar nominations.

Category Prediction Odds
Best Picture Likely Nominee 75% nom
Best Director Frontrunner 85% nom
Best Sci-Fi/Horror Frontrunner 95% nom
Best Visual Effects Frontrunner 95% nom

Awards Season Timeline

Key dates for Disclosure Day's awards journey:

June 12, 2026

Theatrical Release - a prime summer date launch

September 2026

Fall Festivals - Potential TIFF, Venice screenings for awards push

December 2026

Critics Awards - New York, LA Critics Circles announce winners

January 2027

Golden Globes - First major televised awards show

January 2027

Oscar Nominations - Academy announces nominees

February 2027

SAG Awards - Key precursor for acting categories

March 2027

Academy Awards - 99th Oscars ceremony

Historical Comparison

How Disclosure Day compares to other Spielberg sci-fi films at the Oscars:

Film Year Nominations Wins
Close Encounters of the Third Kind 1977 8 (incl. Director) 1 (Cinematography)
E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial 1982 9 (incl. Picture, Director) 4 (Score, Sound, Visual Effects, Sound Editing)
A.I. Artificial Intelligence 2001 2 0
War of the Worlds 2005 3 0
Disclosure Day 2026 TBD (Predicted: 6-10) TBD

"Spielberg's sci-fi films have often been underestimated at the Oscars. E.T. lost Best Picture to Gandhi. But the Academy has evolved, and Disclosure Day arrives at a moment when its themes feel profoundly relevant."

- Awards analyst perspective

The Emily Blunt Factor

Emily Blunt has never won an Oscar, despite widespread acclaim for her work:

Oscar Snubs History

Disclosure Day could be the role that finally wins Blunt the Oscar. Playing the emotional center of a Spielberg film about humanity's most significant moment gives her the platform the Academy has been waiting for.